Pre-tourney Rankings
Southern Illinois
Missouri Valley
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.0#135
Expected Predictive Rating+4.3#110
Pace72.8#103
Improvement-3.2#297

Offense
Total Offense+1.6#130
First Shot+1.2#140
After Offensive Rebound+0.5#139
Layup/Dunks+3.1#60
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#207
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#238
Freethrows+0.8#126
Improvement-3.2#306

Defense
Total Defense+0.4#166
First Shot-0.7#197
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#67
Layups/Dunks-1.3#230
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#211
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#79
Freethrows-1.3#252
Improvement+0.0#184
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 237   Air Force W 77-75 82%     1 - 0 -5.5 +0.8 -6.4
  Nov 15, 2015 350   Florida A&M W 81-51 97%     2 - 0 +9.7 -5.8 +11.9
  Nov 18, 2015 182   Kent St. W 72-69 72%     3 - 0 -1.0 -3.8 +2.9
  Nov 21, 2015 225   @ Sam Houston St. W 86-81 OT 61%     4 - 0 +4.2 -0.9 +4.3
  Nov 24, 2015 88   Oakland W 97-88 44%     5 - 0 +12.5 +14.2 -2.3
  Nov 27, 2015 222   UTEP L 66-71 70%     5 - 1 -8.6 -12.9 +4.6
  Nov 28, 2015 203   Portland W 80-79 68%     6 - 1 -1.8 +0.8 -2.6
  Dec 02, 2015 338   Southeast Missouri St. W 74-50 95%     7 - 1 +7.4 -12.8 +17.8
  Dec 05, 2015 290   @ North Texas W 95-63 77%     8 - 1 +26.4 +18.9 +7.6
  Dec 09, 2015 309   SIU Edwardsville L 74-76 91%     8 - 2 -14.9 -6.9 -7.9
  Dec 12, 2015 290   North Texas W 74-66 89%     9 - 2 -3.4 -6.8 +3.2
  Dec 18, 2015 174   @ Murray St. W 88-73 49%     10 - 2 +17.2 +8.8 +7.4
  Dec 21, 2015 211   @ Saint Louis W 65-52 59%     11 - 2 +12.7 +0.5 +13.2
  Dec 30, 2015 175   @ Loyola Chicago W 72-62 49%     12 - 2 1 - 0 +12.2 +5.6 +6.9
  Jan 02, 2016 80   Northern Iowa W 75-73 42%     13 - 2 2 - 0 +6.1 +11.8 -5.5
  Jan 06, 2016 314   @ Bradley W 65-44 81%     14 - 2 3 - 0 +13.7 -10.4 +22.3
  Jan 09, 2016 24   Wichita St. L 58-83 18%     14 - 3 3 - 1 -13.4 -5.3 -8.2
  Jan 12, 2016 121   Illinois St. W 81-78 58%     15 - 3 4 - 1 +3.0 +10.5 -7.5
  Jan 17, 2016 254   @ Drake W 81-76 67%     16 - 3 5 - 1 +2.4 +9.1 -6.4
  Jan 20, 2016 165   Indiana St. W 79-66 70%     17 - 3 6 - 1 +9.7 +5.3 +3.8
  Jan 24, 2016 221   @ Missouri St. W 80-65 60%     18 - 3 7 - 1 +14.4 +7.0 +7.1
  Jan 28, 2016 78   Evansville L 78-85 OT 42%     18 - 4 7 - 2 -2.9 +2.3 -4.7
  Jan 31, 2016 80   @ Northern Iowa L 58-67 23%     18 - 5 7 - 3 +0.9 -6.9 +7.5
  Feb 03, 2016 24   @ Wichita St. L 55-76 8%     18 - 6 7 - 4 -3.5 -8.1 +5.5
  Feb 06, 2016 175   Loyola Chicago L 59-73 71%     18 - 7 7 - 5 -17.7 -5.4 -14.1
  Feb 10, 2016 165   @ Indiana St. W 85-78 48%     19 - 7 8 - 5 +9.5 +16.7 -7.3
  Feb 13, 2016 254   Drake W 75-60 84%     20 - 7 9 - 5 +6.6 -3.9 +10.6
  Feb 17, 2016 314   Bradley W 71-59 91%     21 - 7 10 - 5 -1.2 -1.8 +0.6
  Feb 20, 2016 78   @ Evansville L 71-83 23%     21 - 8 10 - 6 -2.1 -0.1 -1.3
  Feb 24, 2016 121   @ Illinois St. L 50-73 35%     21 - 9 10 - 7 -17.1 -13.8 -5.2
  Feb 27, 2016 221   Missouri St. W 78-68 79%     22 - 9 11 - 7 +3.5 -4.1 +6.6
  Mar 04, 2016 80   Northern Iowa L 60-66 32%     22 - 10 +1.0 -5.7 +6.4
Projected Record 22.0 - 10.0 11.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 100.0
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%